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Airleaf

City report · California, United States

Modesto Air quality today

Air quality in Modesto currently reads AQI 77 (Moderate): Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting long outdoor exertion.

Air quality right now

AQI 77

Moderate

Main pollutant: PM2.5
PM2.5, fine particles (µg/m³)
23.3
tree cover
25.5%
trees in this area
80.1K
more trees needed
14.1K

Measured across a 1.2 mi (2 km) radius around Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA, USA (4.9 sq mi), from a satellite image of Sep 15, 2026. Lower AQI is better: 0–50 is Good, above 300 is Hazardous.

Modesto · AQI 77 (Moderate)

Dark green marks tree cover detected inside the study radius.Sentinel-2 L2A (ESA Copernicus) via Earth Search, captured Sep 15, 2026

Modesto's tree count comes to 80,111 trees across 4.9 sq mi (12.57 km²), 4 points below the 30% tree-cover level considered healthy for this area, so roughly 14,137 more trees would close the gap.

Air quality detail

Air quality in Modesto today: AQI 77, Moderate

Main pollutant: PM2.5 · Observed Nov 11, 06:00 local time via OpenAQ ground stations, US EPA index. Values in µg/m³.

Ground station · Modesto - 14th Stree, 0.2 mi (400 m) away

Health signal

Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting long outdoor exertion.

PM2.5

23.3

PM10

36.0

NO₂

—

O₃

15.7

SO₂

—

CO

—

Data: OpenAQ · AirNow

Outdoor exercise
Fine for most people; unusually sensitive people should take long or hard exercise easier
Windows
Fine to open; close them if you are sensitive to pollution
Mask
Not needed for most people
Air purifier
Worth running if you are sensitive

Over the last 7 days, the CAMS air-quality model put Modesto's daily AQI at 70 on average, from 61 on Nov 5 to an hourly peak of 123 on Nov 6.

Last 7 days · model estimateavg 70 · peak 123
Nov 5: AQI 61 (peak 73)Nov 6: AQI 76 (peak 123)Nov 7: AQI 87 (peak 121)Nov 8: AQI 67 (peak 73)Nov 9: AQI 62 (peak 68)Nov 10: AQI 64 (peak 76)Nov 11: AQI 70 (peak 71)
Nov 5Nov 11

Where Modesto stands: the most polluted cities in the world right now · the cleanest

Tree cover detail

Tree cover in Modesto: Below target

25.5% tree cover against a 30% healthy-neighborhood target, across 4.9 sq mi (12.57 km²).

4 points below target

Trees in this area

80,111

Target trees

94,248

More trees needed

14,137

CO₂ if planted / yr

311.0 t

Deforestation · 2001–2025

How much forest has Modesto lost?

Since 2001, the area within 10 km of Modesto has lost about 5,580 acres (2,260 hectares) of forest (about 4,200 football fields): 53% of the forest it had in 2000. Most of it (over 99%) was deforestation, forest cleared for good, mainly for farms, pasture and plantations.

Satellite image of the area around Modesto, September 2017

2017: satellite photo from September 2017 of a 5 × 5 km area about 7 km west of the city center.

Forest lost since 2001
5,580 acres (2,260 ha)about 4,200 football fields
Share of its forest
53%of what there was in 2000
Cleared for good
5,560 acres (2,250 ha)deforestation: turned into farms, mines or towns

Forest loss has stayed about the same: about 286 acres (116 hectares) a year in 2021–2025, against 281 acres (114 hectares) a year in 2016–2020. The worst year was 2023, when about 470 acres (190 hectares) of forest were lost.

Forest lost each year around Modesto, 2001–2025

Acres of forest lost each year

Forest lost each year around Modesto, 2001–2025. Use the left and right arrow keys to read each year.470

Show the figures as a table
Forest lost each year around Modesto, 2001–2025
YearCleared for goodCan grow backTotal
200150 acres (20 ha)under 1 ha51 acres (21 ha)
200263 acres (25 ha)under 1 ha63 acres (26 ha)
200385 acres (34 ha)under 1 ha86 acres (35 ha)
200492 acres (37 ha)under 1 ha92 acres (37 ha)
2005217 acres (88 ha)under 1 ha218 acres (88 ha)
2006206 acres (84 ha)3 acres (1 ha)210 acres (85 ha)
2007216 acres (87 ha)under 1 ha216 acres (87 ha)
2008231 acres (94 ha)under 1 ha233 acres (94 ha)
2009267 acres (108 ha)under 1 ha267 acres (108 ha)
2010282 acres (114 ha)under 1 ha282 acres (114 ha)
2011339 acres (137 ha)under 1 ha339 acres (137 ha)
2012297 acres (120 ha)2 acres (1 ha)299 acres (121 ha)
201391 acres (37 ha)under 1 ha91 acres (37 ha)
2014186 acres (75 ha)under 1 ha186 acres (75 ha)
2015107 acres (43 ha)under 1 ha108 acres (44 ha)
2016199 acres (81 ha)under 1 ha200 acres (81 ha)
2017381 acres (154 ha)under 1 ha381 acres (154 ha)
2018351 acres (142 ha)under 1 ha351 acres (142 ha)
2019287 acres (116 ha)under 1 ha287 acres (116 ha)
2020189 acres (77 ha)under 1 ha189 acres (77 ha)
2021376 acres (152 ha)under 1 ha376 acres (152 ha)
2022182 acres (74 ha)under 1 ha182 acres (74 ha)
2023470 acres (190 ha)under 1 ha470 acres (190 ha)
2024289 acres (117 ha)under 1 ha289 acres (117 ha)
2025114 acres (46 ha)under 1 ha114 acres (46 ha)

What is causing deforestation around Modesto?

  • Farms, pasture and plantationscleared for good98% · 5,460 acres (2,210 ha)
  • Towns and roadscleared for good1.9% · 104 acres (42 ha)

Also: unknown causes.

Causes for 2025 are estimates, based on what caused forest loss in the same places up to 2024.

Forest gained and lost, 2000–2020

Forest in 2000
8,420 acres (3,410 ha)
Forest in 2020
7,710 acres (3,120 ha)
Overall change
−702 acres (284 ha)less forest than in 2000

Comparing satellite maps from 2000 and 2020, the forest around Modesto shrank from about 8,420 acres (3,410 hectares) to 7,710 acres (3,120 hectares), a net loss of about 702 acres (284 hectares) (−8.3%). New forest grew on about 1,190 acres (480 hectares), but 1,890 acres (765 hectares) were lost.

These 2000 and 2020 maps, from the University of Maryland, count any land with trees taller than 5 m as forest, including plantations and orchards. Forest that was cut or burned and had grown back by 2020 counts in both years, so the loss here is smaller than the yearly figures.

These figures cover everything within 10 km of the city center, a wider area than the report above, because forest is usually lost at a city's edges.

Source: Hansen/UMD/Google/USGS/NASA, Global Forest Change (GFC-2025-v1.13); causes: WRI/Google DeepMind drivers of forest loss; both CC BY 4.0, summed by Airleaf for each area. Forest gained and lost 2000–2020: Potapov et al. 2022, UMD GLAD Global Land Cover and Land Use Change, CC BY 4.0. Images: contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data. How it's measured

In the same region

Measured cities near Modesto

Same 2 km radius, same index — so they compare directly.

  • Stockton

    United States

    43.8 km
    Tree cover
    16%
    Air quality
    60
  • Antioch

    United States

    81.9 km
    Tree cover
    14%
    Air quality
    8
  • San Jose

    United States

    86.0 km
    Tree cover
    17%
    Air quality
    55
  • Fremont

    United States

    88.0 km
    Tree cover
    15%
    Air quality
    29
  • Elk Grove

    United States

    91.7 km
    Tree cover
    21%
    Air quality
    52
  • Hayward

    United States

    95.5 km
    Tree cover
    20%
    Air quality
    29

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Modesto air quality (AQI) and tree cover — measured by Airleaf
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Frequently asked

Questions about Modesto

What is the air quality (AQI) in Modesto right now?

The latest reading for Modesto shows an AQI of 77 (Moderate), measured Nov 11, 06:00 local time by the Modesto - 14th Stree ground monitoring station, 0.2 mi (400 m) away, via OpenAQ. The main pollutant is PM2.5. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting long outdoor exertion.

Is it safe to exercise outside in Modesto today?

At AQI 77 (Moderate): fine for most people; unusually sensitive people should take long or hard exercise easier. Windows: fine to open; close them if you are sensitive to pollution. Masks: not needed for most people. The reading changes through the day, so check again before a long run or ride.

What has the air quality in Modesto been like this week?

Over the last 7 days, the CAMS air-quality model put Modesto's daily AQI at 70 on average, from 61 on Nov 5 to an hourly peak of 123 on Nov 6. No day averaged above 100, the level where the air turns unhealthy for sensitive groups.

How much forest has the area around Modesto lost since 2001?

Since 2001, the area within 10 km of Modesto has lost about 5,580 acres (2,260 hectares) of forest (about 4,200 football fields): 53% of the forest it had in 2000. Most of it (over 99%) was deforestation, forest cleared for good, mainly for farms, pasture and plantations. Forest loss has stayed about the same: about 286 acres (116 hectares) a year in 2021–2025, against 281 acres (114 hectares) a year in 2016–2020. Comparing satellite maps from 2000 and 2020, the forest around Modesto shrank from about 8,420 acres (3,410 hectares) to 7,710 acres (3,120 hectares), a net loss of about 702 acres (284 hectares) (−8.3%). New forest grew on about 1,190 acres (480 hectares), but 1,890 acres (765 hectares) were lost.

What is the tree count in Modesto?

Modesto has an estimated 80,111 trees across the 4.9 sq mi (12.57 km²) measured — 25.5% tree cover, 4 percentage points short of the 30% tree-cover target set for this area.

How many more trees does Modesto need?

Modesto needs roughly 14,137 more trees to close a 4-point shortfall against its 30% tree-cover target — about 311.0 t of extra CO₂ absorbed per year once grown.

How are Modesto's air quality and tree cover measured?

Air quality is measured by ground monitoring stations near Downtown Modesto, via OpenAQ; the 7-day trend is the Open-Meteo / CAMS model's estimate. Tree cover is measured from Sentinel-2 L2A (ESA Copernicus) via Earth Search satellite imagery at 10 m detail across a 1.2 mi (2 km) radius around Downtown Modesto; the tree count is an estimate derived from that cover.

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